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The PSD-PNL coalition is currently negotiating a mega-package of fiscal measures, tax increases, which would be applied either from 1 August or from 1 September, in order to cover the budget hole of several tens of billions of lei and for Romania to meet the deficit negotiated with the European Commission, sources at the top of the two governing parties told G4Media.ro. The head of the PNRR, Celine Gauer, is currently in Bucharest to discuss the milestones and reforms Romania has undertaken.
Some tax increases are entirely new, such as the introduction of a 1% tax on residential buildings worth more than €500,000, others are older ideas such as higher taxes on gambling and tobacco.
The list of measures obtained by G4Media.ro does not represent a final agreement between the PSD and PNL, but a working scenario currently under consideration by the government. It is not clear whether all of these tax increases would be implemented from this year or only part of them.
According to G4Media sources, the PSD and PNL are having a hard time agreeing on the proposals because each party wants to protect its own electorate. „If they are adopted as a package, it will be a blow to the middle class and business,” liberal sources told G4Media.ro.
Below are the most important proposals under discussion on the coalition table:
Background
The government needs to raise money in the budget to meet the budget deficit negotiated with the European Commission, which must not exceed 4.4% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). For the first five months, the deficit reported by the Ministry of Finance was 2.32% of GDP.
If it does not meet the deficit, Romania risks being cut off from EU funds.
Officially, the budget „hole” reached 9 billion lei in the first five months of the year. This is the sum between the ANAF’s collection program and actual collections. But there have also been rumors of a 20 billion lei „hole”, caused not only by lower-than-expected revenue but also by higher-than-planned spending.
But the hole could be even bigger, several tens of billions, because the companies’ profits were also overestimated by the finance department, which did not take into account the rise in energy prices. These increases have significantly reduced company profits.
It should be noted that the head of the NRRP, Celine Gauer, is currently visiting Romania to discuss the milestones and reforms undertaken by Romania through the National Recovery and Resilience Plan. One of the key milestones to be met and included in the 3rd payment request, which will probably be submitted in September, is the entry into force of the amendments to the Tax Code (Law No 227/2015) to reduce and/or eliminate tax incentives.
Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu said on Tuesday that discussions with Celine Gauer focused on tax reform and the submission of payment claim number 3, adding that „the Government is drawing up a plan of measures to strengthen the sustainability of public finances”.